Si lo reconozco , esta vez me he equivocado ! Buscar un equilibrio entre la disciplina y la flexibilidad es lo mas dificil que hay en el trading. Como he explicado en otras entradas las operaciones se abren los jueves y se cierran los martes de la semana del vencimiento , salvo que antes alcancemos un 60%-65% de la prima ingresada antes del martes (fecha límite para cerrar).
Veamos la situación el lunes pasado a las 19:00 h ( GTM+1)
El Lunes a media tarde estabamos en un punto de clara comodidad, el 50% de la prima ingresada en nuestro bolsillo ( 1.150$ / 2.300$ ) , y el mercado tranquilo aunque relativamente cerca de nuestro call strike vendido en 1.510 puntos. Mi error ha sido no adaptarme a la pauta estacional de la semana del dia de acción de gracias + black friday , tradicionalmente alcista. Los americanos nunca dejan caer el mercado en estos dias, y estando mi posición descentrada y cercana al strike vendido por arriba, debi cerrar en lugar de buscar unos cuantos dólares mas el martes. El movimiento brusco de la pre apertura del mercado el martes ya me hacía ver que me había equivocado. LLevaba dos semanas sin operar para evitar el dato de paro mensual , y porque tengo que reconocer que llevo bastante miedo en el cuerpo, la racha ganadora es demasiado buena.
En fin, bajamos nuevamente de 5 a 4 contratos ( los 5 se estan resistiendo ) , y esperaremos una semana mas fructífera.
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Yes....I recognize it, this time I was wrong! Looking for a balance between discipline and flexibility is the most difficult thing in trading. As I explained in other entries, we usually open our trades on Thursdays and close on Tuesdays, unless we previously reached 60% - 65% of the premium cashed before Tuesday (deadline to close).
Let's see the situation last Monday at 7:00 PM (GTM + 1)
On Monday afternoon we reached a point of certain comfort, 50% of the premium cashed in our pocket ($ 1,150 / $ 2,300), and a quiet market but relatively close to our call strike sold at 1,510 points. My mistake has been not to adapt my strategy to the seasonal pattern that usually happens at the thanksgiving day+black Friday week, traditionally bullish. Americans never let the market drop these days, and with my position not centered, and pointing dangerously towards my strike sold at the top, I should have closed my position instead of looking for a few more dollars on Tuesday. The sudden movement during the pre-opening market on Tuesday, was announcing I had made a mistake. I have to admit I am a little bit scared lately, the winning streak is too good.
Anyway, we go down again from 5 to 4 contracts for the next week.( 5 contracts series are resisting), and we will look forward to a better week.
Weekly set up and performance
Final Index chart, with entry and exit points. Sold strikes plotted
Money management template and historical track record
